Arizona Market Timing

Best Time to Sell a House in Arizona (2026)

In Arizona, homes sold in January sell for 11% more than those sold in August (-7%). That's a 18% swing that could mean tens of thousands of dollars.

Best Month

January

+11% premium

Worst Month

August

-7% discount

Price Swing

18%

Between best and worst

Median Price

$420K

Arizona median

Avg. DOM

42

Days on market

Monthly Price Index — Arizona

Regional seasonal index (100 = annual average). Derived from 1 years of FRED data (EXHOSLUSM495N + regional housing starts).

111
Jan
111
Feb
97
Mar
95
Apr
98
May
102
Jun
97
Jul
93
Aug
100
Sep
98
Oct
99
Nov
99
Dec

Best 3 Months

#1JanuaryIndex 111
#2FebruaryIndex 111
#3JuneIndex 102

Worst 3 Months

#1AugustIndex 93
#2AprilIndex 95
#3JulyIndex 97

What to Consider When Timing Your Sale in Arizona

Seasonal data shows clear patterns in Arizona's housing market. The best months to list are typically in late spring and early summer, when buyer demand peaks. However, several local factors can shift these patterns:

  • Local inventory levels — low inventory can create seller's markets even in off-peak months
  • Interest rate changes — rate drops can surge buyer demand regardless of season
  • New construction — large developments can impact resale prices in specific neighborhoods
  • School district timelines — families with children often need to close by July-August
  • Carrying costs — waiting for the "best" month costs $3,000-$7,000/month in most markets

Use our interactive Timeline Optimizer to factor in your specific carrying costs and find the month where your total net proceeds are maximized.

Seasonal Market Analysis: Arizona

Arizona's real estate market has an inverted seasonal pattern compared to much of the country. While most states peak in late spring, Arizona sees its highest demand from January through April when the weather is ideal and snowbirds are actively purchasing. The scorching summer heat from June through September dampens buyer enthusiasm and showing activity.

April is typically the strongest month for Arizona home sales, with prices running about 8% above the annual average. This early peak reflects the state's unique climate advantage during spring months. By contrast, December is historically the weakest month as holiday distractions and end-of-year fatigue reduce buyer pools.

The Phoenix metro, which accounts for roughly 60% of Arizona's real estate transactions, follows this pattern most closely. Tucson has a slightly more traditional pattern due to its university population, with a secondary activity bump in August when students and faculty relocate. Scottsdale and Sedona, heavily influenced by luxury and seasonal buyers, tend to see peak pricing from February through April.

Sellers should note that Arizona's rapidly growing population has compressed seasonal differences in recent years. With thousands of out-of-state buyers entering the market year-round, the traditional seasonal discount has narrowed, making timing less critical than it was a decade ago.

Seasonal Timing: Arizona vs. Neighboring States

How the best selling months in Arizona compare to nearby states.

StateBest MonthPeak PremiumWorst Discount
ArizonaYou
January+11%-7%
May+9%-5%
May+8%-5%
May+8%-5%
May+7%-4%

Frequently Asked Questions: Selling a House in Arizona

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Interactive Timeline Optimizer

Use our interactive tool below to calculate the best selling month for your Arizona home based on your specific home value and carrying costs.

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Mortgage, taxes, insurance, HOA

Select your state above to see seasonal price patterns and find your optimal selling window.